Malami’s 2027 gov bid reshapes Kebbi political landscape

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The entry of former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), into the 2027 Kebbi State governorship race, under the African Democratic Congress, has reshaped the political landscape in the North-West state, writes ANIMASAHUN SALMAN

Former Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami (SAN), has formally joined the 2027 governorship contest in Kebbi State, a move that immediately altered political calculations in the North-West state and triggered reactions from government officials, political analysts, and supporters.

Malami, who declared his ambition during an interview on DCL Hausa monitored in Birnin Kebbi, said he would be contesting on the platform of the African Democratic Congress, setting the stage for what many observers now describe as a potentially fierce and unpredictable race.

However, just a week later, the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission reportedly invited him as part of an ongoing investigation into the alleged $490m Abacha loot. The move introduced a major stumbling block to his political ambitions, fuelling speculation about whether the legal scrutiny could slow down his campaign or affect voter perception.

Not deterred, Malami wrote on his X handle: “This is to confirm that I have been invited by the EFCC. As a law-abiding and patriotic citizen, I hereby reaffirm my commitment to honour the invitation. I understand the spirit of accountability and transparency in public service – the principles that I both advocate and champion. Rooted in public service and in the spirit of transparency and accountability, I am committed to sharing with the Nigerian public the developments as they unfold.”

After honouring the EFCC invitation, the former minister wrote: “In line with my undertaking to keep Nigerians updated on my invitation by EFCC, I give glory to Allah for his divine intervention. The engagement was successful, and I was eventually released while on an appointment for further engagement as the truth relating to the fabricated allegations against me continues to unfold.”

Announcing his decision to contest the governorship, the former minister said his decision was driven by worsening insecurity, the collapse of agriculture, and what he called “policy failure” affecting thousands of households across Kebbi.

According to him, the state is in desperate need of “rebuilding,” and he believes he possesses the experience and network required to redirect its development.

“I have agreed to contest, and there is no retreat. God willing, we are going to win. When the time comes, you will see that the people of Kebbi are with us,” Malami declared.

His statement signals the beginning of a long political journey that could reshape the balance of power in a state long dominated by the ruling All Progressives Congress.

Malami’s choice of the ADC immediately attracted attention across the state. As one of the most influential figures in the APC during the late President Muhammadu Buhari administration, his defection to a new party signalled a deep political rift.

Political analysts say this could fragment the ruling party’s support base, especially in Gwandu Emirate, where Malami’s influence has long been visible.

According to some political commentators, the former minister’s declaration could introduce a three-way contest between the APC, with incumbent Governor Nasir Idris seeking to maintain party dominance; the PDP, which has struggled to regain momentum in the state; and Malami’s ADC, which may draw support from disaffected voters, youth groups, and political blocs dissatisfied with the current administration.

The development also revives long-standing political rivalries dating back to the 2015 and 2019 election cycles, where Malami was instrumental in mobilising federal support for APC candidates.

His decision to break away is therefore seen by many as both a political rebuke of the present government and a calculated attempt to realign political power around his own camp.

In announcing his candidacy, Malami focused heavily on the state’s security situation, especially persistent banditry in Zuru Emirate, Danko/Wasagu, Fakai, and parts of Yauri, areas that once formed the backbone of Kebbi’s food production.

He lamented that rice mills that operated for two decades had shut down, blaming state and federal authorities for “negligence.”

“Banditry has pushed thousands away from their farmlands. Rice mills that operated for 20 years have closed because of bad policies favouring foreign companies,” he said.

Kebbi’s agricultural decline is already well documented. The state, once celebrated for its partnership with Lagos in the Lake Rice programme, has experienced reduced yields in rice, wheat, millet, and onions due to insecurity and migration from rural communities.

By focusing on these issues, Malami is attempting to position himself as the candidate with both national and local exposure to reverse the trends.

The Kebbi State Government, however, reacted sharply to Malami’s declaration, insisting that his ambition poses no threat to Governor Nasir Idris or the ruling party.

The Chief Press Secretary to the Governor, Ahmed Idris, said the declaration was neither new nor surprising and insisted that only voters would determine who leads the state.

“The floor is open for everyone to contest. Only the people of Kebbi will decide their governor. We have no reason to panic,” he said.

The governor’s Special Adviser on Communication and Strategy, Abdullah Idris Zuru, described the former minister’s announcement as “a product of desperation.”

In a detailed reaction, Zuru challenged Malami to present his track record for public scrutiny.

“Nobody is moved. Nobody sees him as a threat. Let him go back to the grassroots and tell the people what he has done. People now understand their rights. They will not be deceived by empty rhetoric,” he said.

Zuru argued that modern voters no longer follow politicians blindly and that candidates must demonstrate past contributions to local development before seeking the state’s highest office.

“If you want to be governor, show the people your antecedents. Were you a commissioner, a chairman, a philanthropist? What have you done to improve the well-being of Kebbi people?” he said.

Malami’s supporters, however, insist the government’s reaction reflects insecurity rather than confidence.

A political associate of the former AGF, Dr Abdurrahman Ibrahim, said the declaration was not an act of desperation but a response to widespread calls across the state.

“People from all corners of Kebbi are calling him to contest. He has a track record. He has brought development. Politics is a game of numbers, and Malami has the numbers,” he said.

He said Malami’s decision to leave the APC was mainly due to what they described as “failed campaign promises” by the current administration.

According to him, the former minister initially supported the governor with the belief that he would deliver on his agenda.

“He believed the governor would prioritise the needs of the people. But after the election, the promises changed. People are suffering. Development has stalled. That is why Malami decided to challenge the status quo,” he said.

On government claims that Malami lacks grassroots presence, Dr Ibrahim insisted the opposite was the case.

“If you go to Kebbi, the people will tell you who is mass-oriented. Malami is strategic, highly educated, and capable of driving development. That is why the people want him.”

He described Malami as a realistic candidate with broad acceptance and the capacity to finance and manage a full-scale campaign under the ADC platform.

One of the striking elements of Malami’s declaration is his choice of platform. The ADC has little electoral history in Kebbi State and has never won a governorship election there.

Though Malami’s entry into the governorship race is seen by many as an act that would strengthen the party, the former AGF still faces major challenges, including absence of traditional party structures in rural communities, lack of grassroots mobilisers in key local government areas, limited presence in previous election cycles, strong APC machinery across the state, and historical loyalty to major parties.

The 2027 election cycle may, however, differ from past cycles due to the impact of insecurity, economic hardship, and rising political consciousness.

Early on Monday, the Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School in Maga town, Danko Wasagu Local Government Area, was attacked by bandits, where the vice principal was killed and 25 girls abducted.

The current trend of insecurity in the state may give Malami a campaign wave to ride on.

Malami’s financial strength, national influence, and personal political network could also compensate for the ADC’s structural weaknesses.

A lecturer at a federal institution in the state, Dr Musa Bello, said Malami’s entry into a smaller party creates a complex race.

“He is banking on personality, not party structure. If he successfully draws major APC blocs, especially in Gwandu and Argungu, then ADC becomes a strong contender. But the burden of building a statewide structure is enormous,” he said.

Political insiders confirm that Malami played a crucial role in supporting Governor Nasir Idris during the last election. At the time, the former AGF was one of the major forces behind the governor’s emergence.

Their fallout, therefore, marks one of the most significant political breakaways in Kebbi’s recent history.

Sources say the rift widened over policy direction, political appointments, and alleged failure to meet key governance expectations. However, the government insists it owes no explanation.

Malami’s supporters maintain that the governor abandoned core campaign promises, especially regarding security, agriculture, education, and civil service welfare.

This disagreement has now transformed into a full electoral confrontation, with residents expressing their opinions on the candidates.

In Zuru, farmers and traders welcome the former minister’s stance on insecurity, saying any candidate willing to address banditry deserves attention.

In Argungu, some residents recall federal assistance and appointments linked to Malami’s influence while in office.

In Birnin Kebbi, some civil servants express scepticism, saying they prefer candidates with extensive local administrative experience.

A rice miller in Bunza, who simply gave his name as Mohammed, said, “We need someone who understands our struggles. If Malami can bring peace and reopen farms, we will support him.”

However, a trader in Jega, who did not want his name published, offered a different view: “We hear big rhetoric from Abuja. We want someone who has been with us here, not someone who only comes during elections.”

These mixed sentiments reflect a state where voters are increasingly demanding accountability while remaining open to new political alternatives.

With Malami’s entry, the 2027 governorship race in Kebbi is no longer a two-horse contest. The election will now revolve around four key issues: security of lives and farmlands, agricultural revival and economic recovery, performance record of the incumbent administration, and credibility and grassroots acceptance of candidates.

Though the APC still maintains structural dominance, internal cracks and public criticism may weaken its voter base. The ADC is emerging as a new force, buoyed by Malami’s entry. The PDP, though quieter, hopes to benefit from vote splitting between the two major blocs, especially now that the state holds the position of national chairman of the PDP, Tanimu Turaki (SAN).

Malami’s entry has transformed what was expected to be a straightforward governorship succession into a turbulent contest, and in the months ahead, alliances, defections, and political negotiations are expected to further shape the race.

With the development, Kebbi’s 2027 race is now open, competitive, and unpredictable.

Some political watchers of the event in the state, however, suggest that how Malami navigates the legal entanglement with the EFCC probing will be critical in determining whether his political momentum can be sustained.

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